Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?

Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra

Tzeirey Tamra

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,702 vs 1,588).

Tzeirey Tamra win27 %

Draw24 %

Ironi Baka El Garbiya win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tzeirey Tamra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Feb 22, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away)	3-0	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Tira(home)	1-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home)	2-4	Liga Alef

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	0-3	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)	1-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tzeirey Tamra win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 7, 2025	Tzeirey Tamra 1-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Nov 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tzeirey Tamra	1.4	2.3	3	10/15	11/15
Ironi Baka El Garbiya	1.4	1.5	2	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	33	30	31
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	32	47	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?: The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra.
Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?: Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.