Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ironi Nesher win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Ironi Nesher 3-2 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-3 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| May 3, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 3-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 3-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Jan 6, 2023 | Ironi Nesher 2-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTira
- Feb 20, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Feb 20, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsBeitar Nahariya
- Feb 20, 2027Tzeirey TamravsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm