Iğdır FK vs Boluspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Iğdır FK the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Boluspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iğdır FK vs Boluspor?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Iğdır FK (1,797) and Boluspor (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iğdır FK have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Boluspor have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Iğdır FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Boluspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Boluspor 2-0 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Iğdır FK 1-1 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Iğdır FK 0-1 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Boluspor 0-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boluspor score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Boluspor | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iğdır FK sit 12th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Boluspor sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iğdır FK vs Boluspor?
- The Footlab model makes Iğdır FK the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Boluspor.
- Where and when is Iğdır FK vs Boluspor played?
- Iğdır FK vs Boluspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.