Match

Sivasspor vs Sarıyer: prediction and stats

1. LigRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas

SivassporSarıyer

The Footlab model makes Sivasspor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sivasspor vs Sarıyer?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Sivasspor (1,787) and Sarıyer (1,826).

Sivasspor win38 %
Draw29 %
Sarıyer win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sivasspor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sarıyer have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sivasspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Manisa F.K.(home)2-21. Lig
Aug 16, 2026Kayserispor(away)0-21. Lig
Aug 8, 2026Esenler Erokspor(home)0-01. Lig
May 2, 2026Bandırmaspor(away)0-11. Lig
Apr 26, 2026Iğdır FK(home)2-11. Lig
Sarıyer
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-21. Lig
Aug 14, 2026Esenler Erokspor(away)1-11. Lig
Aug 9, 2026Muğlaspor(home)2-01. Lig
May 2, 2026Bodrum FK(away)1-01. Lig
Apr 26, 2026Esenler Erokspor(home)1-01. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sivasspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarıyer win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Sarıyer 1-0 Sivasspor1. Lig
Sep 13, 2025Sivasspor 1-0 Sarıyer1. Lig

Last archived meeting: Sarıyer vs Sivasspor on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sivasspor score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sarıyer score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sivasspor1.21.348/158/15
Sarıyer1.50.895/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sivasspor sit 16th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Sarıyer sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Sarıyer3111434
16Sivasspor3021242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sivasspor vs Sarıyer?
The Footlab model makes Sivasspor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Sarıyer.
Where and when is Sivasspor vs Sarıyer played?
Sivasspor vs Sarıyer is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sivasspor and Sarıyer

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