Italy U20 vs France U20: prediction and stats
U20 Elite LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
The Footlab model makes France U20 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Italy U20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Italy U20 vs France U20?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Italy U20 (1,593) and France U20 (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U20 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; France U20 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | England U20(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany U20(away) | 0-5 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Portugal U20(home) | 1-2 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 9, 2025 | United States U20(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Argentina U20(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Colombia U20(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Morocco U20(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Norway U20(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Japan U20(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | New Caledonia U20(away) | 6-0 | World Cup - U20 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Italy U20 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 France U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2017 | France U20 1-2 Italy U20 | World Cup - U20 |
Last archived meeting: France U20 vs Italy U20 on Jun 1, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Italy U20 score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; France U20 score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U20 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| France U20 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Italy U20 vs France U20?
- The Footlab model makes France U20 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Italy U20.
- Where and when is Italy U20 vs France U20 played?
- Italy U20 vs France U20 is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, in the U20 Elite League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.