Italy U20 vs Poland U20: prediction and stats
U20 Elite LeagueGroup StageKick-off on March 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
The Footlab model makes Italy U20 the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Poland U20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Italy U20 vs Poland U20?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Italy U20 (1,593) and Poland U20 (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U20 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Poland U20 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | England U20(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany U20(away) | 0-5 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Portugal U20(home) | 1-2 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 9, 2025 | United States U20(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - U20 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Argentina U20(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Germany U20(home) | 0-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Romania U20(away) | 1-0 | U20 Elite League |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Czechia U20(away) | 4-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Switzerland U20(home) | 4-1 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Portugal U20(home) | 1-2 | U20 Elite League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Italy U20 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Poland U20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | Poland U20 2-3 Italy U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Italy U20 1-0 Poland U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Italy U20 0-1 Poland U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Poland U20 0-2 Italy U20 | U20 Elite League |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Italy U20 1-0 Poland U20 | World Cup - U20 |
Last archived meeting: Poland U20 vs Italy U20 on Nov 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Italy U20 score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Poland U20 score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U20 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Poland U20 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Italy U20 vs Poland U20?
- The Footlab model makes Italy U20 the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Poland U20.
- Where and when is Italy U20 vs Poland U20 played?
- Italy U20 vs Poland U20 is played on March 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, in the U20 Elite League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.