Italy vs Croatia: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup stage - 2Kick-off on June 14, 2012 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Croatia?
Italy and Croatia drew 1-1 on June 14, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 39′Andrea PirloItaly
- 72′M. MandžukićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Italy have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Croatia have 4, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2012 | Spain(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2010 | Slovakia(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2010 | New Zealand(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2010 | Paraguay(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2009 | Brazil(home) | 0-3 | Confederations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2008 | Türkiye(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2008 | Poland(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2008 | Germany(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2008 | Austria(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 11; Croatia score 1.6 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/11 | 4/11 |
| Croatia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Croatia sit 3rd (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy