Italy vs England: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs England?
Italy won 1-0 on September 23, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 68′G. RaspadoriItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; England have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2022 | Germany(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | England(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Hungary(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Germany(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Argentina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2022 | Hungary(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Italy(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Germany(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Ivory Coast(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 England win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2022 | England 0-0 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Italy 1-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Mar 27, 2018 | England 1-1 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 14, 2014 | England 1-2 Italy | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England 0-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; England score 2.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| England | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy