Italy vs Poland: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 7, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Poland?
Italy and Poland drew 1-1 on September 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 40′P. ZielińskiPoland
- 78′JorginhoItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Poland have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2018 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2018 | France(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | England(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2018 | Japan(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2018 | Colombia(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2018 | Senegal(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 12, 2018 | Lithuania(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2018 | Chile(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Poland | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy