Italy vs Poland: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 7, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Poland?
Italy and Poland drew 1-1 on September 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 40′P. ZielińskiPoland
- 78′JorginhoItaly (pen.)
Official lineup for Italy vs Poland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 10L. Insigne
- 9M. Balotelli
- 20F. Bernardeschi
- 18R. Gagliardini
- 5Jorginho
- 16L. Pellegrini
- 15C. Biraghi
- 3G. Chiellini
- 19L. Bonucci
- 21D. Zappacosta
- 22G. Donnarumma
Poland
4-4-1-1- 9R. Lewandowski
- 20P. Zieliński
- 21R. Kurzawa
- 11M. Klich
- 10G. Krychowiak
- 16J. Błaszczykowski
- 3A. Reca
- 5J. Bednarek
- 15K. Glik
- 18B. Bereszyński
- 22Ł. Fabiański
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Poland have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2018 | Netherlands(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2018 | France(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | England(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2018 | Japan(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2018 | Colombia(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2018 | Senegal(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 12, 2018 | Lithuania(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2018 | Chile(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Poland | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Poland sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ItalyGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | PolandGroup D | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Italy vs Poland?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy