Jadran LP vs Dubrava Zagreb: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igralište NK Jadran, Ploče
The Footlab model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Dubrava Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jadran LP vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Jadran LP starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jadran LP have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dubrava Zagreb have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opatija(home) | 2-2 | First NL |
| May 30, 2026 | Križevci(home) | 1-0 | Second NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Dakovo-Croatia(away) | 6-0 | Second NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Lucko(away) | 3-2 | Second NL |
| May 9, 2026 | Varteks Varaždin(home) | 2-1 | Second NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Hrvace(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Opatija(home) | 3-2 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Jadran LP score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dubrava Zagreb score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadran LP | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dubrava Zagreb | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jadran LP sit 7th in First NL (1 points from 1 matches) and Dubrava Zagreb sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jadran LP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Dubrava Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jadran LP vs Dubrava Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Dubrava Zagreb.
- Where and when is Jadran LP vs Dubrava Zagreb played?
- Jadran LP vs Dubrava Zagreb is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište NK Jadran, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.