Segesta Sisak vs Kustosija: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Sisak
The Footlab model makes Segesta Sisak the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Kustosija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Segesta Sisak vs Kustosija?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Segesta Sisak (1,838) and Kustosija (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Segesta Sisak have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Kustosija have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Radenska Slatina(away) | 18-0 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orijent 1919(home) | 3-1 | First NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lucko(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Krka(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | HNK Zadar(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dugopolje(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 3-3 | Second NL |
| May 22, 2026 | Uljanik(home) | 1-1 | Second NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Segesta Sisak win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kustosija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Kustosija 1-2 Segesta Sisak | Second NL |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Segesta Sisak 1-4 Kustosija | Second NL |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Kustosija 2-1 Segesta Sisak | Second NL |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Segesta Sisak 0-4 Kustosija | Second NL |
Last archived meeting: Kustosija vs Segesta Sisak on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Segesta Sisak score 3.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kustosija score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segesta Sisak | 3.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kustosija | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Segesta Sisak sit 3rd in First NL (3 points from 1 matches) and Kustosija sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Segesta Sisak | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Kustosija | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Segesta Sisak vs Kustosija?
- The Footlab model makes Segesta Sisak the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Kustosija.
- Where and when is Segesta Sisak vs Kustosija played?
- Segesta Sisak vs Kustosija is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.