Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb U21: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek
The Footlab model makes Vukovar the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Dinamo Zagreb U21. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb U21?
Vukovar starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vukovar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Radnički Dalj(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| May 22, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 3-6 | HNL |
| May 15, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| May 8, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Real Madrid U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Valencia U21(home) | 4-3 | Premier League International Cup |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Newcastle United U21(away) | 3-0 | Premier League International Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Vukovar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vukovar sit 8th in First NL (1 points from 1 matches) and Dinamo Zagreb U21 sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vukovar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb U21?
- The Footlab model makes Vukovar the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Dinamo Zagreb U21.
- Where and when is Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 played?
- Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gradski vrt, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.