Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igralište NK Mladost, Ždralovi
The Footlab model makes Mladost Ždralovi the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Sesvete. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Mladost Ždralovi (1,855) and Sesvete (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost Ždralovi have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sesvete have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vukovar(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Varteks Varaždin(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Inter Zapresic(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(home) | 3-0 | First NL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-3 | First NL |
| May 22, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 2-1 | First NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dugopolje(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mladost Ždralovi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sesvete win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Mladost Ždralovi 0-0 Sesvete | Second NL |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Sesvete 1-0 Mladost Ždralovi | Second NL |
Last archived meeting: Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete on Apr 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost Ždralovi score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sesvete score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Ždralovi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sesvete | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost Ždralovi sit 9th in First NL (1 points from 1 matches) and Sesvete sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sesvete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Mladost Ždralovi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete?
- The Footlab model makes Mladost Ždralovi the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Sesvete.
- Where and when is Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete played?
- Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište NK Mladost, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.