Match

Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków

Wisla KrakowJagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,978) and Jagiellonia (2,057).

Wisla Krakow win40 %
Draw27 %
Jagiellonia win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Saburtalo(home)4-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026Rangers(away)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026Rangers(home)2-1UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026Motor Lublin(away)2-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2025Jagiellonia 1-0 Wisla KrakowSuper Cup
May 7, 2022Wisla Krakow 0-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Nov 20, 2021Jagiellonia 3-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Feb 7, 2021Wisla Krakow 2-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Aug 24, 2020Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Feb 8, 2020Wisla Krakow 3-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow on Apr 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15
Jagiellonia1.70.777/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Wisla Krakow521210107
10Jagiellonia3201336

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia?
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia played?
Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wisla Krakow and Jagiellonia

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