Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,978) and Jagiellonia (2,057).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Jagiellonia 1-0 Wisla Krakow | Super Cup |
| May 7, 2022 | Wisla Krakow 0-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Jagiellonia 3-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 2-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2020 | Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 3-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow on Apr 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia played?
- Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 12, 2026Legia WarszawavsWidzew Łódź
- Sep 12, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLech Poznan
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 12, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGKS Katowice
- Sep 12, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 12, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsMotor Lublin
- Sep 12, 2026Radomiak RadomvsPiast Gliwice