Jaraíz vs Gévora: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, Jaraíz de la Vera
The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Gévora. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaraíz vs Gévora?
Jaraíz starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaraíz vs Gévora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaraíz
Not enough data to predict the Jaraíz lineup.
Gévora
Not enough data to predict the Gévora lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaraíz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gévora have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llerenense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Quintana(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Jaraíz win, 1 draw, 0 Gévora wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Gévora 0-0 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Jaraíz 1-0 Gévora | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaraíz score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gévora score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaraíz | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gévora | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaraíz sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (5 points from 6 matches) and Gévora sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gévora | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Jaraíz | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Jaraíz vs Gévora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaraíz vs Gévora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Gévora.
- Where and when is Jaraíz vs Gévora played?
- Jaraíz vs Gévora is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.