Jecheon Citizen vs Geoje Citizen: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Geoje Citizen the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Jecheon Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jecheon Citizen vs Geoje Citizen?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Jecheon Citizen (1,598) and Geoje Citizen (1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jecheon Citizen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Geoje Citizen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sejong SA(home) | 5-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 2-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(home) | 1-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Gangneung City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Gijang United(home) | 1-1 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jincheon(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Incheon Seogot(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Sejong SA(home) | 1-2 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Jecheon Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Geoje Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Geoje Citizen 2-3 Jecheon Citizen | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Geoje Citizen vs Jecheon Citizen on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jecheon Citizen score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geoje Citizen score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jecheon Citizen | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Geoje Citizen | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jecheon Citizen sit 6th in K4 League (27 points from 18 matches) and Geoje Citizen sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jecheon Citizen | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 27 |
| 8 | Geoje Citizen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jecheon Citizen vs Geoje Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Geoje Citizen the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Jecheon Citizen.
- Where and when is Jecheon Citizen vs Geoje Citizen played?
- Jecheon Citizen vs Geoje Citizen is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.