Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gijang United: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pyeongtaek Ichon Leports Stadium, Pyeongtaek
The Footlab model makes Gijang United the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Pyeongtaek Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gijang United?
Gijang United starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pyeongtaek Citizen have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Gijang United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 0-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 0-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-1 | K4 League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 0-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pyeongtaek Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gijang United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen 0-2 Gijang United | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gijang United on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pyeongtaek Citizen score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gijang United score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyeongtaek Citizen | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gijang United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pyeongtaek Citizen sit 13th in K4 League (9 points from 17 matches) and Gijang United sit 10th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gijang United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
| 13 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gijang United?
- The Footlab model makes Gijang United the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Pyeongtaek Citizen.
- Where and when is Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gijang United played?
- Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gijang United is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pyeongtaek Ichon Leports Stadium, in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.