Sejong SA vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jungnang Chorus Mustang the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sejong SA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sejong SA vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Sejong SA (1,605) and Jungnang Chorus Mustang (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sejong SA have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jungnang Chorus Mustang have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 4-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Haman(away) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jincheon(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gijang United(home) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Namyangju(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sejong SA win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jungnang Chorus Mustang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang 1-3 Sejong SA | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Jungnang Chorus Mustang vs Sejong SA on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sejong SA score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jungnang Chorus Mustang score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sejong SA | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sejong SA sit 7th in K4 League (23 points from 17 matches) and Jungnang Chorus Mustang sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 28 |
| 7 | Sejong SA | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sejong SA vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang?
- The Footlab model makes Jungnang Chorus Mustang the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sejong SA.
- Where and when is Sejong SA vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang played?
- Sejong SA vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.