jerv vs Sotra: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)J.J. Ugland Stadion, Grimstad
The Footlab AI model makes jerv the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Sotra. The most likely score is 1-1. If jerv wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win jerv vs Sotra?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate jerv (1,863) and Sotra (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for jerv vs Sotra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
jerv
4-3-3- 11K. Badjie
- 7P. Syvertsen
- 97J. Furaha
- 17S. Nordbø
- 22E. Kolve
- 40S. Osestad
- 3D. Hultqvist
- 15M. Almén
- 20C. Svendby
- 14J. Stålesen
- 16Daniel Gadegaard Andersen
Sotra
4-3-3- 10L. Kilen
- 15T. Hildal
- 7F. Falck
- 19I. Hjorteseth
- 6S. Wik
- 22M. Bildoy
- 2K. Ree
- 8H. Foldnes
- 20D. Tørum
- 3A. Johansen
- 1M. Grasmo
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, jerv have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sotra have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lysekloster(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Notodden(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sogndal(home) | 1-1 | NM Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 jerv wins, 1 draw, 1 Sotra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sotra 1-3 jerv | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | jerv 2-0 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Sotra 2-1 jerv | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 7, 2024 | jerv 1-1 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Sotra 0-2 jerv | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
jerv score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sotra score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jerv | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Sotra | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
jerv sit 1st in 2. Division - Group 1 (53 points from 23 matches) and Sotra sit 5th (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Sotra | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 42 |
A question about jerv vs Sotra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for jerv vs Sotra?
- The Footlab AI model makes jerv the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Sotra.
- Where and when is jerv vs Sotra played?
- jerv vs Sotra is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at J.J. Ugland Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.