Notodden vs Pors Grenland: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Optime Arena, Notodden
The Footlab model makes Notodden the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pors Grenland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Notodden (1,749) and Pors Grenland (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notodden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Pors Grenland have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Åssiden IF(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Urædd(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bjarg(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arendal(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bjarg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Notodden win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pors Grenland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Pors Grenland 1-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Pors Grenland 0-3 Notodden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Pors Grenland 2-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Notodden 2-1 Pors Grenland | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Notodden 1-0 Pors Grenland | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Notodden 1-1 Pors Grenland | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pors Grenland vs Notodden on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notodden score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pors Grenland score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notodden | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Pors Grenland | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notodden sit 6th in 2. Division - Group 1 (27 points from 16 matches) and Pors Grenland sit 10th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 27 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
- The Footlab model makes Notodden the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pors Grenland.
- Where and when is Notodden vs Pors Grenland played?
- Notodden vs Pors Grenland is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Optime Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.