Notodden vs Pors Grenland: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Optime Arena, Notodden
The Footlab AI model makes Notodden the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Pors Grenland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notodden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
On Elo ratings, Notodden has 1,756 points and Pors Grenland 1,748.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notodden vs Pors Grenland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notodden
4-3-3- 1S. Lothe
- 20B. Bjerkan
- 23A. Ryste
- 8S. Jørgensen
- 22T. Nordbø
- 10A. Pettersen
- 16N. Bertelsen
- 2J. Gunnerød
- 3H. Osen
- 4J. Hammerli
- 12J. Bergesen
Pors Grenland
4-3-3- 7T. Meen
- 9O. Johnsen
- 10S. Mladenovic
- 14F. S. Kimerud
- 23A. Giske
- 31J. Kekarainen
- 25E. Asante Gayi
- 16B. Evensen
- 5T. Garstad
- 55A. Bjornhaug Remy
- 1P. Hagen
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notodden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pors Grenland have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bjarg(away) | 2-5 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | jerv(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 2-3 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sotra(away) | 2-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lysekloster(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Notodden wins, 2 draws, 0 Pors Grenland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Pors Grenland 1-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Pors Grenland 0-3 Notodden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Pors Grenland 2-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Notodden 2-1 Pors Grenland | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Notodden 1-0 Pors Grenland | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Notodden 1-1 Pors Grenland | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pors Grenland vs Notodden on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Notodden score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pors Grenland score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notodden | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Pors Grenland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notodden sit 6th in 2. Division - Group 1 (35 points from 23 matches) and Pors Grenland sit 10th (26 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notodden | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 25 | 35 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 26 |
A question about Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notodden the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Pors Grenland.
- Where and when is Notodden vs Pors Grenland played?
- Notodden vs Pors Grenland is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Optime Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.