Sotra vs Notodden: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Straume stadion, Sotra
The Footlab model makes Sotra the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Notodden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sotra vs Notodden?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Sotra (1,841) and Notodden (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sotra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Notodden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frøya(away) | 6-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Træff(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bjarg(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Notodden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Åssiden IF(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sotra win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Notodden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Notodden 1-0 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Notodden 1-1 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sotra 1-3 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Notodden 0-0 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Sotra 2-1 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Sotra 2-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sotra score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Notodden score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sotra | 2.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Notodden | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sotra sit 5th in 2. Division - Group 1 (27 points from 16 matches) and Notodden sit 6th (27 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sotra | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sotra vs Notodden?
- The Footlab model makes Sotra the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Notodden.
- Where and when is Sotra vs Notodden played?
- Sotra vs Notodden is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Straume stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.