Sotra vs Notodden: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Straume stadion, Sotra
The Footlab AI model makes Sotra the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Notodden. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sotra vs Notodden?
Sotra starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sotra vs Notodden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sotra
4-3-3- 10L. Kilen
- 15T. Hildal
- 7F. Falck
- 19I. Hjorteseth
- 6S. Wik
- 22M. Bildoy
- 2K. Ree
- 8H. Foldnes
- 20D. Tørum
- 3A. Johansen
- 1M. Grasmo
Notodden
4-3-3- 1S. Lothe
- 20B. Bjerkan
- 23A. Ryste
- 8S. Jørgensen
- 22T. Nordbø
- 10A. Pettersen
- 16N. Bertelsen
- 2J. Gunnerød
- 3H. Osen
- 4J. Hammerli
- 12J. Bergesen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sotra have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Notodden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sogndal(home) | 1-1 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bjarg(away) | 2-5 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | jerv(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 2-3 | NM Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sotra win, 3 draws, 2 Notodden wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Notodden 1-0 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Notodden 1-1 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sotra 1-3 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Notodden 0-0 Sotra | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Sotra 2-1 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Sotra 2-2 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sotra score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Notodden score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sotra | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Notodden | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sotra sit 5th in 2. Division - Group 1 (42 points from 23 matches) and Notodden sit 6th (35 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sotra | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 42 |
| 6 | Notodden | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 25 | 35 |
A question about Sotra vs Notodden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sotra vs Notodden?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sotra the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Notodden.
- Where and when is Sotra vs Notodden played?
- Sotra vs Notodden is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Straume stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.