JK Tabasalu vs Legion: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tabasalu Staadion, Tabasalu
The Footlab model makes JK Tabasalu the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Legion. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Legion?
JK Tabasalu starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,186 vs 1,029).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JK Tabasalu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Legion have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Saku Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 JK Tabasalu win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Legion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Legion 2-0 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| May 27, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 2-3 Legion | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Legion 3-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Legion 0-3 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 11, 2025 | JK Tabasalu 1-4 Legion | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Legion 2-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Legion vs JK Tabasalu on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JK Tabasalu score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Legion score 1.1 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JK Tabasalu | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Legion | 1.1 | 4.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JK Tabasalu sit 8th in Esiliiga B (29 points from 24 matches) and Legion sit 10th (12 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 61 | 29 |
| 10 | Legion | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 87 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JK Tabasalu vs Legion?
- The Footlab model makes JK Tabasalu the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Legion.
- Where and when is JK Tabasalu vs Legion played?
- JK Tabasalu vs Legion is played on September 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tabasalu Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.