Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Parnu JK Vaprus U21 the favourite at 87%, against 8% for a draw and 5% for Legion. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (1,272 vs 1,007).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Legion have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Saku Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Legion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Legion 1-4 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1-1 Legion | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on Jun 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 score 2.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Legion score 1.1 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Legion | 1.1 | 4.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 7th in Esiliiga B (37 points from 25 matches) and Legion sit 10th (12 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 69 | 54 | 37 |
| 10 | Legion | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 88 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion?
- The Footlab model makes Parnu JK Vaprus U21 the favourite at 87%, against 8% for a draw and 5% for Legion.
- Where and when is Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion played?
- Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Legion is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.