JK Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tabasalu Staadion, Tabasalu
The Footlab model makes JK Tabasalu the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Johvi Phoenix. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate JK Tabasalu (1,186) and Johvi Phoenix (1,234).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JK Tabasalu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Johvi Phoenix have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Legion(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JK Tabasalu win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Johvi Phoenix win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 2-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| May 9, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix 1-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 2-1 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 18, 2025 | JK Tabasalu 2-2 Johvi Phoenix | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Johvi Phoenix 3-1 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| May 10, 2025 | Johvi Phoenix 2-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Johvi Phoenix vs JK Tabasalu on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JK Tabasalu score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Johvi Phoenix score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JK Tabasalu | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Johvi Phoenix | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JK Tabasalu sit 8th in Esiliiga B (29 points from 25 matches) and Johvi Phoenix sit 3rd (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 67 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JK Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix?
- The Footlab model makes JK Tabasalu the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Johvi Phoenix.
- Where and when is JK Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix played?
- JK Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tabasalu Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.