Joinville vs Nautico Recife: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 10, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs Nautico Recife?
Joinville won 1-0 on May 10, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 88′JaelJoinville
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nautico Recife have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2014 | Icasa(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Parana(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Portuguesa(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Ceara(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 22, 2013 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Ceara(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Vila Nova(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 19, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 0.9 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy