Joinville vs Santa Catarina: result 4-3 and analysis
Catarinense - 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on February 16, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Joinville vs Santa Catarina?
Joinville won 4-3 on February 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′Cléberson Cristiano JahnkeSanta Catarina
- 46′Alex Gonçalves dos Santos GonçalvesSanta Catarina
- 52′MarcinhoJoinville
- 55′MarcosJoinville
- 59′MarcosJoinville
- 75′CristianJoinville (pen.)
- 88′BrenerSanta Catarina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Joinville have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Catarina have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Hercílio Luz(away) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Caravaggio(away) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Avai(away) | 0-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Criciuma(away) | 0-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | Brusque(home) | 1-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Criciuma(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Figueirense(home) | 2-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Joinville score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Catarina score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Catarina | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Joinville sit 4th in Catarinense - 1 (3 points from 6 matches) and Santa Catarina sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Joinville | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy