Barra vs Santa Catarina: prediction and stats
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Barra the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Santa Catarina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barra wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barra vs Santa Catarina?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Barra (1,601) and Santa Catarina (1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barra vs Santa Catarina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barra
4-3-3- 10Marquinho
- 9Saymon
- 7Cléo Silva
- 8Peçanha
- 4Vava
- 5Natan
- 2Augusto Potiguar
- 13Pierre Jean
- 6Adriel
- 4Éverton Alemão
- 1Fabián Volpi
Santa Catarina
Not enough data to predict the Santa Catarina lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barra have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Catarina have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hercílio Luz(away) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Metropolitano(home) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Joinville(away) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Nação(home) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Blumenau(home) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Metropolitano(away) | 0-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Joinville(home) | 0-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Figueirense(home) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nação(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Barra win, 2 draws, 0 Santa Catarina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Santa Catarina 0-1 Barra | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Barra 1-1 Santa Catarina | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Barra 2-2 Santa Catarina | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Catarina vs Barra on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barra score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Catarina score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barra | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Catarina | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barra vs Santa Catarina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barra the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Santa Catarina.
- Where and when is Barra vs Santa Catarina played?
- Barra vs Santa Catarina is played on October 23, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, in the Copa Santa Catarina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.