Vitesse vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs De Graafschap?
On Elo ratings, Vitesse has 1,730 points and De Graafschap 1,692.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs De Graafschap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-4-2- 9N. Bannis
- 19J. Hilterman
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 24N. Markelo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 14O. Achouitar
- 55M. Steffen
- 1C. van den Berg
De Graafschap
4-3-2-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 27N. Ahmeti-Grainca
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 14Gijs Bolk
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 1T. Wieggers
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-5 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vitesse wins, 0 draws, 2 De Graafschap wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | De Graafschap 1-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Vitesse 1-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Vitesse 2-0 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2024 | De Graafschap 3-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2019 | Vitesse 2-0 De Graafschap | KNVB Beker |
| May 12, 2019 | Vitesse 6-1 De Graafschap | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Vitesse on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 9 matches) and De Graafschap sit 19th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Vitesse vs De Graafschap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs De Graafschap played?
- Vitesse vs De Graafschap is played on November 8, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.