Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dordrecht wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Jong Utrecht (1,573) and Dordrecht (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 7E. C. Owen
- 9Tijn den Boggende
- 8D. Laaouina
- 6F. Pohl
- 6O. Agougil
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 6W. Kooy
- 14P. Kloosterboer
- 1K. Gadellaa
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 1Y. van Osch
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dordrecht have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-6 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jong Utrecht wins, 2 draws, 1 Dordrecht win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 3-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Dordrecht 1-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| May 2, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Dordrecht 3-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| May 10, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Dordrecht 3-3 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (7 points from 9 matches) and Dordrecht sit 18th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht played?
- Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht is played on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.