Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Jong Utrecht (1,584) and Dordrecht (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dordrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jong Utrecht win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dordrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 3-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Dordrecht 1-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| May 2, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Dordrecht 3-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| May 10, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Dordrecht 3-3 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Dordrecht sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht played?
- Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht is played on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.