Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab model makes Helmond Sport the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Helmond Sport (1,595) and Jong Utrecht (1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Helmond Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jong Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Helmond Sport 4-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (2 points from 3 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Helmond Sport the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.