Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab AI model makes Helmond Sport the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Helmond Sport wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Helmond Sport (1,571) and Jong Utrecht (1,553).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 11L. Cicero
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 19H. Ingason
- 7J. van der Sluijs
- 4B. Koglin
- 20S. Dekkers
- 43T. Landheer
- 5T. Poll
- 1M. Bergsen
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 11E. C. Owen
- 7Bjorn Menzo
- 9N. Dundas
- 6F. Pohl
- 18D. Laaouina
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 14W. Kooy
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 1M. Eppink
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Helmond Sport wins, 1 draw, 2 Jong Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Helmond Sport 4-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 10 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Helmond Sport the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Helmond Sport vs Jong Utrecht is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.