Match

Jong Utrecht vs MVV: prediction and stats

Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht

Jong UtrechtMVV

The Footlab AI model makes MVV the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If MVV wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jong Utrecht vs MVV?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Jong Utrecht (1,550) and MVV (1,585).

37%25%38%
Jong Utrecht winDrawMVV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Jong Utrecht vs MVV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Jong Utrecht

4-3-3
  1. 10Massien Ghaddari
  2. 11E. C. Owen
  3. 7Bjorn Menzo
  1. 9N. Dundas
  2. 6F. Pohl
  3. 18D. Laaouina
  1. 5Viggo Plantinga
  2. 3J. Schuldes
  3. 14W. Kooy
  4. 2Yousri Sbai
  1. 1M. Eppink

MVV

4-2-3-1
  1. 9T. Vinogradac
  1. 7L. Daneels
  2. 10O. Dumont
  3. 16R. Klaasen
  4. 18E. Sierra
  5. 24N. El Hamdaoui
  1. 6F. Dicke
  2. 17S. Wegen
  3. 22Sven Bouland
  4. 21D. Asante
  1. 1H. Wentges

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; MVV have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jong Utrecht
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026De Graafschap(away)1-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026VVV Venlo(home)1-3Eerste Divisie
Sep 14, 2026Jong Ajax(home)6-1Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026NAC Breda(away)3-2Eerste Divisie
Sep 7, 2026FC Eindhoven(home)0-0Eerste Divisie
MVV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026NAC Breda(away)0-1Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2026FC OSS(away)1-4Eerste Divisie
Sep 26, 2026Helmond Sport(home)2-0Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026Waalwijk(away)1-6Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026Almere City FC(home)0-4Eerste Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jong Utrecht wins, 1 draw, 3 MVV wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026MVV 2-1 Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie
Jan 23, 2026MVV 2-2 Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie
Oct 17, 2025Jong Utrecht 3-1 MVVEerste Divisie
Apr 18, 2025MVV 5-0 Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie
Nov 4, 2024Jong Utrecht 4-3 MVVEerste Divisie
Jan 19, 2024MVV 3-0 Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie

Last archived meeting: MVV vs Jong Utrecht on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jong Utrecht1.62.1312/1512/15
MVV1.32.329/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (7 points from 10 matches) and MVV sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7MVV10514132016
20Jong Utrecht1021716237

A question about Jong Utrecht vs MVV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs MVV?
The Footlab AI model makes MVV the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Jong Utrecht.
Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs MVV played?
Jong Utrecht vs MVV is played on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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