Junior vs Independiente Medellin: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera AClausura - FinalKick-off on December 10, 2023 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Full time
What was the result of Junior vs Independiente Medellin?
Junior won 3-2 on December 10, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′C. BaccaJunior
- 16′J. EnamoradoJunior
- 40′J. OrtizIndependiente Medellin
- 71′C. BaccaJunior
- 88′D. MorenoIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 4-2 | Primera A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | America de Cali(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 5-0 | Primera A |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Millonarios(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Millonarios(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Junior win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Independiente Medellin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2023 | Independiente Medellin 1-0 Junior | Primera A |
| Jan 30, 2023 | Junior 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Junior 4-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Independiente Medellin 2-0 Junior | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Independiente Medellin 0-0 Junior | Primera A |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Junior 1-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Junior on Jul 24, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Junior score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy