Murata vs Domagnano: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, Città di San Marino
The Footlab AI model makes Domagnano the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Murata. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murata vs Domagnano?
Domagnano starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (1,179 vs 912).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murata vs Domagnano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murata
Not enough data to predict the Murata lineup.
Domagnano
Not enough data to predict the Domagnano lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murata have 1 win, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Domagnano have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Giovanni(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-3 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 4, 2026 | San Giovanni(home) | 4-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Murata win, 2 draws, 3 Domagnano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Domagnano 5-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Murata 0-6 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Domagnano 0-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Murata 3-3 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Domagnano 0-1 Murata | Campionato |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Domagnano 2-0 Murata | Coppa Titano |
How many goals should we expect?
Murata score 0.6 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Domagnano score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murata | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Domagnano | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murata sit 13th in Campionato (3 points from 5 matches) and Domagnano sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Murata | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Murata vs Domagnano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murata vs Domagnano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Domagnano the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Murata.
- Where and when is Murata vs Domagnano played?
- Murata vs Domagnano is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.