Where and when is El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español played?

El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 16% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires

El Porvenir

Deportivo Español

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 22% for El Porvenir, 40% for a draw, 38% for Deportivo Español. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate El Porvenir (1,552) and Deportivo Español (1,646).

El Porvenir win22 %

Draw40 %

Deportivo Español win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Español have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

El Porvenir
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	0-3	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Fénix(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 28, 2026	Sportivo Barracas(away)	2-3	Primera C

Deportivo Español
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Lujan(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 17, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 7, 2026	General Lamadrid(away)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Leones de Rosario(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Atletico Atlas(away)	1-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Porvenir win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Español win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Deportivo Español 0-0 El Porvenir	Primera C
Aug 18, 2025	Deportivo Español 0-2 El Porvenir	Primera C
May 3, 2025	El Porvenir 0-1 Deportivo Español	Primera C
Nov 15, 2024	Deportivo Español 0-1 El Porvenir	Primera C
Jun 15, 2024	El Porvenir 0-0 Deportivo Español	Primera C
Sep 17, 2022	Deportivo Español 3-1 El Porvenir	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Español vs El Porvenir on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Español score 0.5 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 16% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
El Porvenir	0.5	0.8	8	3/15	3/15
Deportivo Español	0.5	0.3	11	2/15	1/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

El Porvenir sit 10th in Primera C (30 points from 25 matches) and Deportivo Español sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Deportivo Español	25	7	14	4	18	14	35
10	El Porvenir	25	5	15	5	18	21	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?: The Footlab model calls this one tight: 22% for El Porvenir, 40% for a draw, 38% for Deportivo Español.
Where and when is El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español played?: El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 16% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.