Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Sanches de Miranda, Évora
The Footlab AI model makes Juventude Évora the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Aljustrelense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense?
Juventude Évora starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juventude Évora
Not enough data to predict the Juventude Évora lineup.
Aljustrelense
4-3-3- PPedro Alexandre Fialho Guerreiro
- PPaulo Costa
- EE. Udokporo
- BBabacar Thiam Fall
- SSene Dabo
- IInsa Sagna
- BBlessed Andrade Mendes Teixeira
- VVumi Côco Mpasi
- RRui Miguel Pereira Alexandre
- JJonathan Restrepo Firmino
- IIgor Miguel Henriques Palma
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventude Évora have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Aljustrelense have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lajense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Portel(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | União Montemor(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portel(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ferreiras(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sintrense(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Juventude Évora win, 1 draw, 0 Aljustrelense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2021 | Aljustrelense 1-1 Juventude Évora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Juventude Évora 3-1 Aljustrelense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H |
Last archived meeting: Aljustrelense vs Juventude Évora on Jan 17, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Juventude Évora score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aljustrelense score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude Évora | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Aljustrelense | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Juventude Évora | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 32 |
A question about Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventude Évora the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Aljustrelense.
- Where and when is Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense played?
- Juventude Évora vs Aljustrelense is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Sanches de Miranda, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.