Juventus vs Atalanta: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
The Footlab model makes Juventus the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Atalanta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventus vs Atalanta?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Juventus (2,222) and Atalanta (2,181).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atalanta have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nice(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Juventus win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atalanta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Atalanta 0-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Atalanta 3-0 Juventus | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Juventus 1-1 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Atalanta 1-2 Juventus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Juventus 0-4 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Atalanta 1-1 Juventus | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventus score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventus sit 6th in Serie A (69 points from 38 matches) and Atalanta sit 7th (59 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Atalanta?
- The Footlab model makes Juventus the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Atalanta.
- Where and when is Juventus vs Atalanta played?
- Juventus vs Atalanta is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.