Venezia vs Lazio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lazio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezia vs Lazio?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Venezia (2,103) and Lazio (2,118).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Lazio have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Venezia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lazio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Venezia 0-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Lazio 3-1 Venezia | Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2022 | Lazio 1-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Venezia 1-3 Lazio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezia score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lazio score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lazio | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Lazio?
- The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lazio.
- Where and when is Venezia vs Lazio played?
- Venezia vs Lazio is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.