K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
The Footlab model makes K. Lierse S.K. the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Francs Borains. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate K. Lierse S.K. (1,771) and Francs Borains (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, K. Lierse S.K. have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Francs Borains have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Liège(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 K. Lierse S.K. win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Francs Borains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K. 0-2 Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Francs Borains 0-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Francs Borains 1-0 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 4-0 Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 3-1 Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Francs Borains 2-0 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
K. Lierse S.K. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Francs Borains score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Francs Borains | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
K. Lierse S.K. sit 11th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Francs Borains sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Francs Borains | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | K. Lierse S.K. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains?
- The Footlab model makes K. Lierse S.K. the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Francs Borains.
- Where and when is K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains played?
- K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.