Beerschot VA vs Liège: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Olympisch Stadion, Antwerp (Anvers)
The Footlab model makes Beerschot VA the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Liège. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beerschot VA vs Liège?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Beerschot VA (1,881) and Liège (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beerschot VA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Liège have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dender(away) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KAA Gent II(home) | 4-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waremme(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Beerschot VA win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Liège win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Liège 0-1 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Beerschot VA 3-0 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Beerschot VA 3-1 Liège | Cup |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Liège 1-4 Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Beerschot VA 3-0 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Liège vs Beerschot VA on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beerschot VA score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Liège score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Liège | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beerschot VA sit 5th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Liège sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Beerschot VA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Liège | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beerschot VA vs Liège?
- The Footlab model makes Beerschot VA the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Liège.
- Where and when is Beerschot VA vs Liège played?
- Beerschot VA vs Liège is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Olympisch Stadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.