Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
The Footlab model makes Sporting Hasselt the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Excelsior Virton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Excelsior Virton (1,988) and Sporting Hasselt (2,001).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Virton have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sporting Hasselt have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Francs Borains(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dender(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Geel(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eendracht Aalst(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Excelsior Virton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sporting Hasselt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Excelsior Virton 3-3 Sporting Hasselt | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Hasselt score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting Hasselt | 2.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Virton sit 1st in Challenger Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Sporting Hasselt sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Sporting Hasselt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Hasselt the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Excelsior Virton.
- Where and when is Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt played?
- Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Yvan Georges, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.