Dender vs Club Brugge II: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Club Brugge II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs Club Brugge II?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Dender (1,778) and Club Brugge II (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Club Brugge II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Dender win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Club Brugge II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Club Brugge II 0-1 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Dender 2-0 Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Club Brugge II 4-1 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Dender 3-2 Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge II vs Dender on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge II score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Club Brugge II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 7th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Club Brugge II sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Club Brugge II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs Club Brugge II?
- The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Club Brugge II.
- Where and when is Dender vs Club Brugge II played?
- Dender vs Club Brugge II is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.