Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Patrostadion, Maasmechelen
The Footlab model makes Patro Eisden the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for KRC Genk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II?
Patro Eisden starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Patro Eisden have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; KRC Genk II have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liège(home) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Patro Eisden win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 KRC Genk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Patro Eisden 4-4 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | KRC Genk II 1-4 Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Patro Eisden 1-0 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | KRC Genk II 1-3 Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Patro Eisden 2-2 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 8, 2023 | KRC Genk II 0-1 Patro Eisden | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Patro Eisden score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KRC Genk II score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patro Eisden | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| KRC Genk II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Patro Eisden sit 9th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and KRC Genk II sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Patro Eisden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II?
- The Footlab model makes Patro Eisden the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for KRC Genk II.
- Where and when is Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II played?
- Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Patrostadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.