Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, Kabwe
The Footlab model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 54%, against 32% for a draw and 15% for Green Buffaloes. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Kabwe Warriors (1,579) and Green Buffaloes (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kabwe Warriors have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Green Buffaloes have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kabwe Warriors win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Green Buffaloes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Green Buffaloes 0-2 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kabwe Warriors 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Green Buffaloes 1-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kabwe Warriors 1-1 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 1-0 Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Kabwe Warriors 3-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Buffaloes vs Kabwe Warriors on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kabwe Warriors score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabwe Warriors | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kabwe Warriors sit 4th in Super League (51 points from 34 matches) and Green Buffaloes sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 25 | 51 |
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes?
- The Footlab model makes Kabwe Warriors the favourite at 54%, against 32% for a draw and 15% for Green Buffaloes.
- Where and when is Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes played?
- Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Godfrey Chitalu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsPower Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsChirundu Utd
- Oct 24, 2026NAPSA StarsvsNchanga Rangers
- Oct 24, 2026NkwazivsGreen Eagles
- Oct 24, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsMutondo Stars
- Oct 24, 2026ZanacovsKansanshi Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Konkola BladesvsNkana
- Oct 24, 2026Roan UnitedvsRed Arrows