Nkwazi vs Green Eagles: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Nkwazi, 36% for a draw, 31% for Green Eagles. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nkwazi vs Green Eagles?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Nkwazi (1,532) and Green Eagles (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Green Eagles have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Mines(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Power Dynamos(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nkwazi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Green Eagles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Green Eagles 1-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Nkwazi 1-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Green Eagles 0-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Nkwazi 0-0 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Nkwazi 2-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Green Eagles 0-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Green Eagles vs Nkwazi on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Green Eagles score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nkwazi | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Green Eagles | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and Green Eagles sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Green Eagles | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 50 |
| 14 | Nkwazi | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Green Eagles?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Nkwazi, 36% for a draw, 31% for Green Eagles.
- Where and when is Nkwazi vs Green Eagles played?
- Nkwazi vs Green Eagles is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsGreen Buffaloes
- Oct 24, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsPower Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsChirundu Utd
- Oct 24, 2026NAPSA StarsvsNchanga Rangers
- Oct 24, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsMutondo Stars
- Oct 24, 2026ZanacovsKansanshi Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Konkola BladesvsNkana
- Oct 24, 2026Roan UnitedvsRed Arrows