NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)REIZ Arena, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 37%, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Nchanga Rangers. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate NAPSA Stars (1,518) and Nchanga Rangers (1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAPSA Stars have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nchanga Rangers have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Konkola Blades(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 12, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Konkola Blades(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAPSA Stars win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nchanga Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | NAPSA Stars 0-1 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Nchanga Rangers 1-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Nchanga Rangers 0-0 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | NAPSA Stars 3-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | NAPSA Stars 2-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Nchanga Rangers 1-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nchanga Rangers score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAPSA Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Nchanga Rangers | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAPSA Stars sit 15th in Super League (36 points from 34 matches) and Nchanga Rangers sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nchanga Rangers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 37%, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Nchanga Rangers.
- Where and when is NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers played?
- NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at REIZ Arena, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Kabwe WarriorsvsGreen Buffaloes
- Oct 24, 2026Man Utd Zambia AcademyvsPower Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsChirundu Utd
- Oct 24, 2026NkwazivsGreen Eagles
- Oct 24, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsMutondo Stars
- Oct 24, 2026ZanacovsKansanshi Dynamos
- Oct 24, 2026Konkola BladesvsNkana
- Oct 24, 2026Roan UnitedvsRed Arrows