Roan United vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kafubu Stadium, Luanshya
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Roan United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roan United vs Red Arrows?
Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,383).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roan United have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Red Arrows have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | Konkola Blades(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Konkola Mine Police(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Indeni(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2014 | National Assembly(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Roan United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Red Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Red Arrows 3-2 Roan United | Super League |
| May 17, 2014 | Roan United 0-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Roan United 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| May 18, 2013 | Red Arrows 1-1 Roan United | Super League |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Roan United 2-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| May 5, 2012 | Red Arrows 1-1 Roan United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Roan United on Sep 20, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Roan United score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roan United | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roan United vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Roan United.
- Where and when is Roan United vs Red Arrows played?
- Roan United vs Red Arrows is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kafubu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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