Where and when is ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars played?

ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola

ZESCO United

Mutondo Stars

The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Mutondo Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars?

ZESCO United starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,494).

ZESCO United win57 %

Draw28 %

Mutondo Stars win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZESCO United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mutondo Stars have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ZESCO United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Zanaco(home)	6-1	Super League
May 20, 2026	Mines(away)	2-1	Super League
May 16, 2026	Kabwe Warriors(away)	1-0	Super League
May 13, 2026	Nkana(home)	0-1	Super League
May 7, 2026	Green Eagles(away)	0-1	Super League

Mutondo Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	NAPSA Stars(away)	0-1	Super League
May 17, 2026	Mines(home)	3-1	Super League
May 13, 2026	Power Dynamos(away)	2-2	Super League
May 2, 2026	Red Arrows(home)	1-0	Super League
Apr 29, 2026	Mufulira Wanderers(away)	0-1	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ZESCO United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mutondo Stars win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 5, 2026	Mutondo Stars 1-0 ZESCO United	Super League
Aug 23, 2025	ZESCO United 3-0 Mutondo Stars	Super League
May 4, 2025	Mutondo Stars 1-0 ZESCO United	Super League
Dec 14, 2024	ZESCO United 2-0 Mutondo Stars	Super League
Apr 21, 2024	ZESCO United 0-0 Mutondo Stars	Super League
Nov 11, 2023	Mutondo Stars 1-2 ZESCO United	Super League

Last archived meeting: Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United on Mar 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
ZESCO United	1.2	0.9	5	7/15	4/15
Mutondo Stars	0.9	0.9	3	7/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ZESCO United sit 10th in Super League (47 points from 34 matches) and Mutondo Stars sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	ZESCO United	34	13	8	13	39	30	47
16	Mutondo Stars	34	7	14	13	23	34	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars?: The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Mutondo Stars.
Where and when is ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars played?: ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.