Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba
The Footlab AI model makes JKT Tanzania the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 1-1. If JKT Tanzania wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania?
JKT Tanzania starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,506).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
JKT Tanzania
4-3-3- 39O. Chikola
- 9V. Kusengama
- 9V. Mashaka
- 4H. Kapalata
- 51P. Peter
- 17S. Bajana
- 2K. Mfaume
- 41P. Mussa
- 29S. Khamis
- 10E. Songo
- 28R. Chalamanda
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagera Sugar have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; JKT Tanzania have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kagera Sugar wins, 3 draws, 3 JKT Tanzania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 21, 2025 | JKT Tanzania 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 29, 2023 | JKT Tanzania 1-1 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 1, 2021 | JKT Tanzania 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kagera Sugar score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; JKT Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera Sugar | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| JKT Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kagera Sugar sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 11 matches) and JKT Tanzania sit 4th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania?
- The Footlab AI model makes JKT Tanzania the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania played?
- Kagera Sugar vs JKT Tanzania is played on April 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaitaba Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.