Mbeya City vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,526, a 470-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 22V. Mayanga
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 26A. Buha
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 4K. Pillar
- 31T. Reuben
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win, 1 draw, 4 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Mbeya City 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Simba 3-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Simba 3-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Simba 3-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (10 points from 7 matches) and Simba sit 1st (24 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Simba played?
- Mbeya City vs Simba is played on April 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.