Mashujaa vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mashujaa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Mashujaa (1,576) and Coastal Union (1,599).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mashujaa vs Coastal Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 17M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 54H. Lidah
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 4S. Onditi
- 14J. Machela
- 43M. Malik
Coastal Union
4-3-3- 25S. Kichuya
- 9M. M. Maabad
- 36M. Andrea
- 16G. Manyasi
- 8K. Gradi
- 34S. Mwanza
- 26R. Aidan
- 5A. A. Msangi
- 2A. William
- 4A. Laurent
- 18C. Ramadhani
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mashujaa wins, 2 draws, 2 Coastal Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coastal Union 0-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 24, 2026 | Coastal Union 1-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Mashujaa 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Mashujaa 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Coastal Union 0-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Mashujaa 1-2 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Mashujaa on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 4th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 8 matches) and Coastal Union sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Mashujaa vs Coastal Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Coastal Union played?
- Mashujaa vs Coastal Union is played on April 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.